India’s dream of reaching the ICC Women’s World Cup 2025 semifinals is still alive—but just barely. After a heartbreaking four-run loss to England in Indore, Harmanpreet Kaur’s side now faces a must-win situation in their final two group games .
Can India Still Reach the Semifinals?
Yes—but only if they win both remaining matches against New Zealand and Bangladesh. A single slip could end their campaign prematurely. Currently sitting in fourth place on the points table, India’s fate is in their own hands .
India Women’s World Cup Semifinal Scenarios Explained
Here’s a clear breakdown of what needs to happen:
Scenario 1: Win Both Matches (vs NZ & BAN)
- India secures a semifinal spot outright.
- They finish with at least 8 points (assuming current standings).
- This guarantees a top-four finish regardless of other results .
Scenario 2: Lose to New Zealand, Beat Bangladesh
- India finishes with 6 points.
- Qualification then depends on New Zealand losing their final match against England.
- If NZ loses and India beats BAN, both teams are tied on points—but India advances due to more wins (3 vs NZ’s 2) .
Scenario 3: Lose Either Match Without Favorable Results
- If India drops a game and other results don’t go their way, they’re eliminated.
- Teams like West Indies, Sri Lanka, or even New Zealand could overtake them.
Key Matchups Ahead
| Match | Date | Stakes for India |
|---|---|---|
| India vs New Zealand | TBD | Must-win to stay in contention |
| India vs Bangladesh | TBD | Nearly must-win; loss likely ends campaign |
What Went Wrong Against England?
Chasing 289, India came agonizingly close. Smriti Mandhana and Harmanpreet Kaur delivered strong performances, but the middle order collapsed under pressure . A few more runs or a tighter bowling spell could have flipped the result.
Path Forward: Mindset & Strategy
The team must regroup quickly. Against New Zealand—a side with explosive batters like Sophie Devine—India’s spinners and fielding will be crucial. Against Bangladesh, clinical execution is non-negotiable.